2025-26 Season

NFL MVPOdds & Rankings

Complete MVP odds analysis with live market data, trend tracking, and professional insights for all candidates in the 2025-26 season.

Current Market Leaders

1
Josh Allen
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8% probability
+22.1ppClimbing
2
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3% probability
-1.1ppStable
3
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8% probability
+5.9ppClimbing
119
Total Candidates
5
Moving Up
+1926
Top 10 Average
W20
Current Week

Market Summary

The 2025-26 NFL MVP race is currently led by Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) with +105 odds, followed closely by Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) at +600. Market activity shows 5 candidates with upward movement this week, indicating a dynamic race with 0 players showing high market confidence. The competitive landscape suggests multiple viable paths to the MVP award as the season progresses.

Latest Updates

➡️Josh AllenBuffalo BillsQBRank #1

Josh Allen maintained their #1 position. Their odds gained 22.1 percentage points. showing strong upward momentum.

Season-to-date: Improved from +350 to +105
➡️Justin HerbertLos Angeles ChargersQBRank #2

Justin Herbert maintained their #2 position. Their odds lost 1.1 percentage points.

Season-to-date: Improved from +1500 to +600
➡️Patrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsQBRank #3

Patrick Mahomes maintained their #3 position. Their odds gained 5.9 percentage points. showing strong upward momentum.

Season-to-date: Improved from +850 to +750
➡️Matthew StaffordLos Angeles RamsQBRank #5

Matthew Stafford maintained their #5 position. Their odds gained 1.4 percentage points. showing strong upward momentum.

Season-to-date: Improved from +5500 to +1800
➡️Baker MayfieldTampa Bay BuccaneersQBRank #7

Baker Mayfield maintained their #7 position. Their odds lost 1.4 percentage points. facing downward pressure.

Season-to-date: Stable at +2500
Market Overview: The 2025-26 NFL MVP race is led by Josh Allen (+105), followed by Justin Herbert (+600), Market activity shows 4 candidates with upward movement and 5 trending downward, indicating a stabilizing market with established frontrunners.

Biggest Movers Since Opening

📈Top Risers

1. Puka NacuaLos Angeles Rams
#17
+50000+10000
+396.0%
$100 bet at opening → $50100 return
2. Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams
#5
+5500+1800
+194.7%
$100 bet at opening → $5600 return
3. Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
#2
+1500+600
+128.6%
$100 bet at opening → $1600 return
4. Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
#1
+350+105
+119.5%
$100 bet at opening → $450 return
5. Anthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts
#86
+300000
+100.0%
$100 bet at opening → $30100 return

Market Movers

Biggest odds movements this week

Movement Analysis

0
Significant Risers
0
Notable Declines
0.0pp
Biggest Move

Complete MVP Rankings

All candidates with live odds and market analysis

RankPlayerTeamPositionOddsProbability7d ChangeTrendDetails
1
JA
Josh Allen
#17
Buffalo Bills
BUF
QB
+105
48.8%
+22.1pp
ClimbingView
2
JH
Justin Herbert
#10
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC
QB
+600
14.3%
-1.1pp
StableView
3
PM
Patrick Mahomes
#15
Kansas City Chiefs
KC
QB
+750
11.8%
+5.9pp
ClimbingView
4
JL
Jordan Love
#10
Green Bay Packers
GB
QB
+1400
6.7%
0.0pp
StableView
5
MS
Matthew Stafford
#9
Los Angeles Rams
LAR
QB
+1800
5.3%
+1.4pp
ClimbingView
6
JH
Jalen Hurts
#1
Philadelphia Eagles
PHI
QB
+1900
5.0%
-0.9pp
StableView
7
BM
Baker Mayfield
#6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB
QB
+2500
3.8%
-1.4pp
SlidingView
8
JG
Jared Goff
#16
Detroit Lions
DET
QB
+2500
3.8%
+2.2pp
ClimbingView
9
LJ
Lamar Jackson
#8
Baltimore Ravens
BAL
QB
+2700
3.6%
-23.1pp
SlidingView
10
JD
Jayden Daniels
#5
Washington Commanders
WAS
QB
+5000
2.0%
-3.6pp
SlidingView
11
DJ
Daniel Jones
#8
New York Giants
NYG
QB
+6000
1.6%
+0.4pp
StableView
12
DP
Dak Prescott
#4
Dallas Cowboys
DAL
QB
+7500
1.3%
-0.6pp
StableView
13
TL
Trevor Lawrence
#16
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX
QB
+10000
1.0%
-0.3pp
StableView
14
CW
Caleb Williams
#18
Chicago Bears
CHI
QB
+10000
1.0%
0.0pp
StableView
15
DM
Drake Maye
#10
New England Patriots
NE
QB
+10000
1.0%
0.0pp
StableView
Showing 15 of 119 playersUpdated 10/3/2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about NFL MVP odds and voting

The current MVP favorites are typically elite quarterbacks from playoff-contending teams, with odds fluctuating weekly based on performance, team success, and betting market activity. Our rankings update regularly to reflect the latest market movements and player performances.

Methodology & Data Sources

Our MVP analysis aggregates odds from major sportsbooks, calculates market metrics, and tracks trends. Data includes implied probabilities, volatility analysis, and market confidence indicators updated weekly.

Full Details