MVP
2025-26 Season

Justin HerbertMVP Odds

Odds moved to +7500 today (Week 11). Contender tier. Updated Nov 20, 2025.

Los Angeles ChargersQB#10
Current Rank
#12th
Best Odds
+7500
Win Probability
1.3%

7-Day Movement

Change:-3.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Sliding

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:1.3%

Current Market Summary

Justin Herbert is currently ranked #12 in MVP odds with +7500 odds (1.3% implied probability). The QB has lost 3.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a sliding trend. Market confidence is medium with 1.3% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Patrick Mahomes
+2000 (4.76%)
Needs +3.45pp
to pass
Jonathan Taylor
+800 (11.11%)
Needs +9.80pp
to pass
Josh Allen
+450 (18.18%)
Needs +16.87pp
to pass
Current Position
#12
1.32% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 1.32% → 15.38%
Velocity
+0.94pp/day
Rising trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +7500 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$750.00
Total
$760.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$1,875.00
Total
$1,900.00
Bet
$50
Profit
$3,750.00
Total
$3,800.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$7,500.00
Total
$7,600.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$18,750.00
Total
$19,000.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$37,500.00
Total
$38,000.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$75,000.00
Total
$76,000.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +7500 = 76.00× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Justin Herbert implied probability over 11 weeks

11-Week Average
6.7%

Peak Performance

15.4%
Week Week 3

vs 11-Week Average

-5.3pp
Below average

11-Week Volatility

4.4%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Justin Herbert MVP odds

Justin Herbert currently has +7500 MVP odds, which translates to a 1.3% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Justin at rank #12 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Related Resources

MVP Odds Hub
Complete MVP rankings and odds
Los Angeles Chargers MVP Candidates
Team MVP odds and analysis
QB MVP Odds
Position-specific MVP analysis

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More