2025-26 Season

Justin HerbertMVP Odds

Los Angeles ChargersQB#10
Current Rank
#2nd
Best Odds
+600
Probability
14.3%

7-Day Movement

Change:-1.1pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:3.6%

Current Market Summary

Justin Herbert is currently ranked #2 in MVP odds with +600 odds (14.3% implied probability). The QB has lost 1.1 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 3.6% volatility over the last four weeks.

Current Odds
+600
14.29% probability
Best available odds
Market Rank
#2
0 this week
Among all MVP candidates
7-Day Change
-1.1pp
Stable trend
Percentage point change
Market Health
Medium
3.6% volatility
Confidence level

Season Performance

Opening Odds
+1500
Rank #7
Current Odds
+600
Rank #2
Movement
Improved
+128.6%

Justin Herbert opened the season at +1500, and has since improved to +600, representing a 128.6% increase in implied probability, climbing 5 spots from their opening rank of #7.

Return on Investment

$100 Bet at Opening
$1500.00 profit
Total Return
$1600.00
ROI Percentage
1500%

Hypothetical return if you had placed a $100 bet when the season opened at +1500 odds.

Probability Trend Analysis

Justin Herbert implied probability over 4 weeks

4-Week Average
11.6%

Peak Performance

15.4%
Week Week 3

vs 4-Week Average

+2.7pp
Above average

4-Week Volatility

3.6%
Standard deviation

Peer Comparison

How Justin Herbert compares to other top MVP candidates

Josh Allen
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8%
Ahead by
34.5pp
#2
Justin HerbertYOU
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3%
#3
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8%
Behind by
2.5pp
#4
Jordan Love
Green Bay PackersQB
+1400
6.7%
Behind by
7.6pp
#5
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles RamsQB
+1800
5.3%
Behind by
9.0pp

Chasing

Josh Allen
Buffalo Bills QB
-34.5pp
Gap to close for rank #1

Leading

Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs QB
+2.5pp
Lead over rank #3

Position Context

QB Leader
Josh Allen
Rank #1
RB Leader
No data
WR Leader
No data

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Justin Herbert MVP odds

Justin Herbert currently has +600 MVP odds, which translates to a 14.3% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Justin at rank #2 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More