MVP
2025-26 Season

Trevor LawrenceMVP Odds

Odds held at +30000 today (Week 22). Favorite tier. Updated Feb 24, 2026.

Jacksonville JaguarsQB#16
Current Rank
#3rd
Best Odds
+30000
Win Probability
0.3%

7-Day Movement

Change:0.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:0.4%

Current Market Summary

Trevor Lawrence is currently ranked #3 in MVP odds with +30000 odds (0.3% implied probability). The QB has lost 0.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 0.4% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Drake Maye
+160 (38.46%)
Needs +38.13pp
to pass
Matthew Stafford
-190 (65.52%)
Needs +65.19pp
to pass

Leading

Josh Allen
+50000 (0.20%)
Leads +0.13pp
ahead by
Justin Herbert
+50000 (0.20%)
Leads +0.13pp
ahead by
Current Position
#3
0.33% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 0.20% → 1.32%
Velocity
-0.04pp/day
Flat trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +30000 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$3,000.00
Total
$3,010.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$7,500.00
Total
$7,525.00
Bet
$50
Profit
$15,000.00
Total
$15,050.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$30,000.00
Total
$30,100.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$75,000.00
Total
$75,250.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$150,000.00
Total
$150,500.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$300,000.00
Total
$301,000.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +30000 = 301.00× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Trevor Lawrence implied probability over 12 weeks

12-Week Average
0.5%

Peak Performance

1.3%
Week Week 19

vs 12-Week Average

-0.2pp
Below average

12-Week Volatility

0.3%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Trevor Lawrence MVP odds

Trevor Lawrence currently has +30000 MVP odds, which translates to a 0.3% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Trevor at rank #3 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Related Resources

MVP Odds Hub
Complete MVP rankings and odds
Jacksonville Jaguars MVP Candidates
Team MVP odds and analysis
QB MVP Odds
Position-specific MVP analysis

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More