MVP
2025-26 Season

Sam DarnoldMVP Odds

Odds held at +50000 today (Week 22). Contender tier. Updated Feb 25, 2026.

Minnesota VikingsQB#14
Current Rank
#11th
Best Odds
+50000
Win Probability
0.2%

7-Day Movement

Change:0.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:0.3%

Current Market Summary

Sam Darnold is currently ranked #11 in MVP odds with +50000 odds (0.2% implied probability). The QB has lost 0.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 0.3% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Justin Herbert
+50000 (0.20%)
Needs +0.00pp
to pass
Josh Allen
+50000 (0.20%)
Needs +0.00pp
to pass
Trevor Lawrence
+30000 (0.33%)
Needs +0.13pp
to pass
Current Position
#11
0.20% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 0.20% → 1.96%
Velocity
+0.15pp/day
Rising trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +50000 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$5,000.00
Total
$5,010.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$12,500.00
Total
$12,525.00
Bet
$50
Profit
$25,000.00
Total
$25,050.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$50,000.00
Total
$50,100.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$125,000.00
Total
$125,250.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$250,000.00
Total
$250,500.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$500,000.00
Total
$501,000.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +50000 = 501.00× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Sam Darnold implied probability over 12 weeks

12-Week Average
1.0%

Peak Performance

2.0%
Week Week 11

vs 12-Week Average

-0.8pp
Below average

12-Week Volatility

0.6%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Sam Darnold MVP odds

Sam Darnold currently has +50000 MVP odds, which translates to a 0.2% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Sam at rank #11 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Related Resources

MVP Odds Hub
Complete MVP rankings and odds
Minnesota Vikings MVP Candidates
Team MVP odds and analysis
QB MVP Odds
Position-specific MVP analysis

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More