MVP
2025-26 Season

Josh AllenMVP Odds

Odds held at +50000 today (Week 22). Favorite tier. Updated Feb 24, 2026.

Buffalo BillsQB#17
Current Rank
#4th
Best Odds
+50000
Win Probability
0.2%

7-Day Movement

Change:0.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:1.3%

Current Market Summary

Josh Allen is currently ranked #4 in MVP odds with +50000 odds (0.2% implied probability). The QB has lost 0.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 1.3% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Trevor Lawrence
+30000 (0.33%)
Needs +0.13pp
to pass
Drake Maye
+160 (38.46%)
Needs +38.26pp
to pass
Matthew Stafford
-190 (65.52%)
Needs +65.32pp
to pass

Leading

Justin Herbert
+50000 (0.20%)
Leads +0.00pp
ahead by
Current Position
#4
0.20% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 0.20% → 18.18%
Velocity
+0.83pp/day
Rising trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +50000 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$5,000.00
Total
$5,010.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$12,500.00
Total
$12,525.00
Bet
$50
Profit
$25,000.00
Total
$25,050.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$50,000.00
Total
$50,100.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$125,000.00
Total
$125,250.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$250,000.00
Total
$250,500.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$500,000.00
Total
$501,000.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +50000 = 501.00× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Josh Allen implied probability over 12 weeks

12-Week Average
6.2%

Peak Performance

18.2%
Week Week 11

vs 12-Week Average

-6.0pp
Below average

12-Week Volatility

5.8%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Josh Allen MVP odds

Josh Allen currently has +50000 MVP odds, which translates to a 0.2% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Josh at rank #4 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Related Resources

MVP Odds Hub
Complete MVP rankings and odds
Buffalo Bills MVP Candidates
Team MVP odds and analysis
QB MVP Odds
Position-specific MVP analysis

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More