2025-26 Season

Josh AllenMVP Odds

Buffalo BillsQB#17
Current Rank
#1st
Best Odds
+105
Probability
48.8%

7-Day Movement

Change:+22.1pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Climbing

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:10.7%

Current Market Summary

Josh Allen is currently ranked #1 in MVP odds with +105 odds (48.8% implied probability). The QB has gained 22.1 percentage points over the past week, showing a climbing trend. Market confidence is medium with 10.7% volatility over the last four weeks.

Current Odds
+105
48.78% probability
Best available odds
Market Rank
#1
0 this week
Among all MVP candidates
7-Day Change
+22.1pp
Climbing trend
Percentage point change
Market Health
Medium
10.7% volatility
Confidence level

Season Performance

Opening Odds
+350
Rank #1
Current Odds
+105
Rank #1
Movement
Improved
+119.5%

Josh Allen opened the season at +350, and has since improved to +105, representing a 119.5% increase in implied probability.

Return on Investment

$100 Bet at Opening
$350.00 profit
Total Return
$450.00
ROI Percentage
350%

Hypothetical return if you had placed a $100 bet when the season opened at +350 odds.

Probability Trend Analysis

Josh Allen implied probability over 4 weeks

4-Week Average
30.5%

Peak Performance

48.8%
Week Week 4

vs 4-Week Average

+18.3pp
Above average

4-Week Volatility

10.7%
Standard deviation

Peer Comparison

How Josh Allen compares to other top MVP candidates

Josh AllenYOU
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8%
#2
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3%
Behind by
34.5pp
#3
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8%
Behind by
37.0pp
#4
Jordan Love
Green Bay PackersQB
+1400
6.7%
Behind by
42.1pp
#5
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles RamsQB
+1800
5.3%
Behind by
43.5pp

Leading

Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers QB
+34.5pp
Lead over rank #2

Position Context

QB Leader
Josh Allen
Rank #1
RB Leader
No data
WR Leader
No data

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Josh Allen MVP odds

Josh Allen currently has +105 MVP odds, which translates to a 48.8% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Josh at rank #1 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More