2025-26 Season

Josh AllenMVP Odds

Odds improved to +450 today (Week 11). Favorite tier. Updated Nov 20, 2025.

Buffalo BillsQB#17
Current Rank
#3rd
Best Odds
+450
Win Probability
18.2%

7-Day Movement

Change:+6.4pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Climbing

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:10.6%

Current Market Summary

Josh Allen is currently ranked #3 in MVP odds with +450 odds (18.2% implied probability). The QB has gained 6.4 percentage points over the past week, showing a climbing trend. Market confidence is medium with 10.6% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Drake Maye
+175 (36.36%)
Needs +18.18pp
to pass
Matthew Stafford
+135 (42.55%)
Needs +24.37pp
to pass

Leading

Jonathan Taylor
+800 (11.11%)
Leads +7.07pp
ahead by
Patrick Mahomes
+2000 (4.76%)
Leads +13.42pp
ahead by
Current Position
#3
18.18% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 11.76% → 48.78%
Velocity
+0.99pp/day
Rising trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +450 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$45.00
Total
$55.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$112.50
Total
$137.50
Bet
$50
Profit
$225.00
Total
$275.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$450.00
Total
$550.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$1,125.00
Total
$1,375.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$2,250.00
Total
$2,750.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$4,500.00
Total
$5,500.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +450 = 5.50× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Josh Allen implied probability over 11 weeks

11-Week Average
27.4%

Peak Performance

48.8%
Week Week 4

vs 11-Week Average

-9.3pp
Below average

11-Week Volatility

10.9%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Josh Allen MVP odds

Josh Allen currently has +450 MVP odds, which translates to a 18.2% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Josh at rank #3 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More