2025-26 Season

Matthew StaffordMVP Odds

Odds improved to +135 today (Week 11). Favorite tier. Updated Nov 21, 2025.

Los Angeles RamsQB#9
Current Rank
#1st
Best Odds
+135
Win Probability
42.6%

7-Day Movement

Change:+13.1pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Climbing

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:13.0%

Current Market Summary

Matthew Stafford is currently ranked #1 in MVP odds with +135 odds (42.6% implied probability). The QB has gained 13.1 percentage points over the past week, showing a climbing trend. Market confidence is medium with 13.0% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Leading

Drake Maye
+175 (36.36%)
Leads +6.19pp
ahead by
Josh Allen
+450 (18.18%)
Leads +24.37pp
ahead by
Current Position
#1
42.55% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 1.79% → 42.55%
Velocity
-3.23pp/day
Falling trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +135 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$13.50
Total
$23.50
Bet
$25
Profit
$33.75
Total
$58.75
Bet
$50
Profit
$67.50
Total
$117.50
Bet
$100
Profit
$135.00
Total
$235.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$337.50
Total
$587.50
Bet
$500
Profit
$675.00
Total
$1,175.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$1,350.00
Total
$2,350.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +135 = 2.35× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Matthew Stafford implied probability over 11 weeks

11-Week Average
12.0%

Peak Performance

42.6%
Week Week 11

vs 11-Week Average

+30.5pp
Above average

11-Week Volatility

12.2%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Matthew Stafford MVP odds

Matthew Stafford currently has +135 MVP odds, which translates to a 42.6% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Matthew at rank #1 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More