2025-26 Season

Matthew StaffordMVP Odds

Odds held at -190 today (Week 22). Favorite tier. Updated Feb 26, 2026.

Los Angeles RamsQB#9
Current Rank
#1st
Best Odds
-190
Win Probability
65.5%

7-Day Movement

Change:0.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:19.8%

Current Market Summary

Matthew Stafford is currently ranked #1 in MVP odds with -190 odds (65.5% implied probability). The QB has lost 0.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 19.8% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Leading

Drake Maye
+160 (38.46%)
Leads +27.06pp
ahead by
Trevor Lawrence
+30000 (0.33%)
Leads +65.19pp
ahead by
Current Position
#1
65.52% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 26.67% → 80.00%
Velocity
-0.90pp/day
Falling trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at -190 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$5.26
Total
$15.26
Bet
$25
Profit
$13.16
Total
$38.16
Bet
$50
Profit
$26.32
Total
$76.32
Bet
$100
Profit
$52.63
Total
$152.63
Bet
$250
Profit
$131.58
Total
$381.58
Bet
$500
Profit
$263.16
Total
$763.16
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$526.32
Total
$1,526.32

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: -190 = 1.53× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Matthew Stafford implied probability over 12 weeks

12-Week Average
59.9%

Peak Performance

80.0%
Week Week 19

vs 12-Week Average

+5.6pp
Above average

12-Week Volatility

15.0%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Matthew Stafford MVP odds

Matthew Stafford currently has -190 MVP odds, which translates to a 65.5% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Matthew at rank #1 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More