2025-26 Season
Patrick MahomesNFL MVP Odds
Kansas City Chiefs•QB
Current MVP Odds
+1800
Win Probability: 0.06%
Payout Calculator
Bet $10
Profit: $180.00
Total: $190.00
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Profit: $900.00
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Profit: $1800.00
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Profit: $18000.00
Total: $19000.00
Probability Trend Analysis
Patrick Mahomes implied probability over 11 weeks
11-Week Average
19.7%
Peak Performance
44.4%
Week Week 7
vs 11-Week Average
-14.9pp
Below average
11-Week Volatility
14.6%
Standard deviation
Player Analysis
Team Performance Impact
Patrick Mahomes's MVP chances are heavily influenced by Kansas City Chiefs's performance. Historical data shows that MVP winners typically come from teams with strong records and playoff appearances.
Position Advantage
As a QB, Patrick Mahomes faces favorable odds historically, as quarterbacks have won 43 of the last 50 MVP awards.