2025-26 Season

Josh AllenNFL MVP Odds

Buffalo BillsQB

Current MVP Odds

+300
Win Probability: 0.33%

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Probability Trend Analysis

Josh Allen implied probability over 5 weeks

5-Week Average
32.9%

Peak Performance

48.8%
Week Week 4

vs 5-Week Average

+9.6pp
Above average

5-Week Volatility

10.7%
Standard deviation

Player Analysis

Team Performance Impact

Josh Allen's MVP chances are heavily influenced by Buffalo Bills's performance. Historical data shows that MVP winners typically come from teams with strong records and playoff appearances.

Position Advantage

As a QB, Josh Allen faces favorable odds historically, as quarterbacks have won 43 of the last 50 MVP awards.