2025-26 Season
Josh AllenNFL MVP Odds
Buffalo Bills•QB
Current MVP Odds
+300
Win Probability: 0.33%
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Probability Trend Analysis
Josh Allen implied probability over 11 weeks
11-Week Average
27.4%
Peak Performance
48.8%
Week Week 4
vs 11-Week Average
-9.3pp
Below average
11-Week Volatility
10.9%
Standard deviation
Player Analysis
Team Performance Impact
Josh Allen's MVP chances are heavily influenced by Buffalo Bills's performance. Historical data shows that MVP winners typically come from teams with strong records and playoff appearances.
Position Advantage
As a QB, Josh Allen faces favorable odds historically, as quarterbacks have won 43 of the last 50 MVP awards.