2025-26 Season
Justin HerbertNFL MVP Odds
Los Angeles Chargers•QB
Current MVP Odds
+1200
Win Probability: 0.08%
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Probability Trend Analysis
Justin Herbert implied probability over 11 weeks
11-Week Average
6.7%
Peak Performance
15.4%
Week Week 3
vs 11-Week Average
-5.3pp
Below average
11-Week Volatility
4.4%
Standard deviation
Player Analysis
Team Performance Impact
Justin Herbert's MVP chances are heavily influenced by Los Angeles Chargers's performance. Historical data shows that MVP winners typically come from teams with strong records and playoff appearances.
Position Advantage
As a QB, Justin Herbert faces favorable odds historically, as quarterbacks have won 43 of the last 50 MVP awards.