2025-26 Season

Tua TagovailoaMVP Odds

Miami DolphinsQB#1
Current Rank
#40th
Best Odds
+40000
Probability
0.2%

7-Day Movement

Change:0.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:0.2%

Current Market Summary

Tua Tagovailoa is currently ranked #40 in MVP odds with +40000 odds (0.2% implied probability). The QB has lost 0.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 0.2% volatility over the last four weeks.

Current Odds
+40000
0.25% probability
Best available odds
Market Rank
#40
0 this week
Among all MVP candidates
7-Day Change
0.0pp
Stable trend
Percentage point change
Market Health
Medium
0.2% volatility
Confidence level

Season Performance

Opening Odds
+15000
Rank #26
Current Odds
+40000
Rank #40
Movement
Declined
62.3%

Tua Tagovailoa opened the season at +15000, but has since drifted to +40000, representing a 62.3% decrease in implied probability, falling 14 spots from their opening rank of #26.

Return on Investment

$100 Bet at Opening
$15000.00 profit
Total Return
$15100.00
ROI Percentage
15000%

Hypothetical return if you had placed a $100 bet when the season opened at +15000 odds.

Probability Trend Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa implied probability over 4 weeks

4-Week Average
0.5%

Peak Performance

0.7%
Week Week 1

vs 4-Week Average

-0.2pp
Below average

4-Week Volatility

0.2%
Standard deviation

Peer Comparison

How Tua Tagovailoa compares to other top MVP candidates

Josh Allen
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8%
Behind by
48.8pp
#2
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3%
Behind by
14.3pp
#3
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8%
Behind by
11.8pp
#4
Jordan Love
Green Bay PackersQB
+1400
6.7%
Behind by
6.7pp
#5
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles RamsQB
+1800
5.3%
Behind by
5.3pp

Leading

Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers QB
+14.3pp
Lead over rank #2

Position Context

QB Leader
Josh Allen
Rank #1
RB Leader
No data
WR Leader
No data

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Tua Tagovailoa MVP odds

Tua Tagovailoa currently has +40000 MVP odds, which translates to a 0.2% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Tua at rank #40 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More