2025-26 Season

Patrick MahomesMVP Odds

Kansas City ChiefsQB#15
Current Rank
#3rd
Best Odds
+750
Probability
11.8%

7-Day Movement

Change:+5.9pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Climbing

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:3.3%

Current Market Summary

Patrick Mahomes is currently ranked #3 in MVP odds with +750 odds (11.8% implied probability). The QB has gained 5.9 percentage points over the past week, showing a climbing trend. Market confidence is medium with 3.3% volatility over the last four weeks.

Current Odds
+750
11.76% probability
Best available odds
Market Rank
#3
0 this week
Among all MVP candidates
7-Day Change
+5.9pp
Climbing trend
Percentage point change
Market Health
Medium
3.3% volatility
Confidence level

Season Performance

Opening Odds
+850
Rank #4
Current Odds
+750
Rank #3
Movement
Improved
+11.8%

Patrick Mahomes opened the season at +850, and has since improved to +750, representing a 11.8% increase in implied probability, climbing 1 spots from their opening rank of #4.

Return on Investment

$100 Bet at Opening
$850.00 profit
Total Return
$950.00
ROI Percentage
850%

Hypothetical return if you had placed a $100 bet when the season opened at +850 odds.

Probability Trend Analysis

Patrick Mahomes implied probability over 4 weeks

4-Week Average
8.0%

Peak Performance

11.8%
Week Week 4

vs 4-Week Average

+3.8pp
Above average

4-Week Volatility

3.3%
Standard deviation

Peer Comparison

How Patrick Mahomes compares to other top MVP candidates

Josh Allen
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8%
Ahead by
37.0pp
#2
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3%
Ahead by
2.5pp
#3
Patrick MahomesYOU
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8%
#4
Jordan Love
Green Bay PackersQB
+1400
6.7%
Behind by
5.1pp
#5
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles RamsQB
+1800
5.3%
Behind by
6.5pp

Chasing

Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers QB
-2.5pp
Gap to close for rank #2

Leading

Jordan Love
Green Bay Packers QB
+5.1pp
Lead over rank #4

Position Context

QB Leader
Josh Allen
Rank #1
RB Leader
No data
WR Leader
No data

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Patrick Mahomes MVP odds

Patrick Mahomes currently has +750 MVP odds, which translates to a 11.8% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Patrick at rank #3 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More