2025-26 Season

Michael Penix Jr.MVP Odds

Atlanta FalconsQB#8
Current Rank
#23th
Best Odds
+17500
Probability
0.6%

7-Day Movement

Change:0.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:0.5%

Current Market Summary

Michael Penix Jr. is currently ranked #23 in MVP odds with +17500 odds (0.6% implied probability). The QB has lost 0.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 0.5% volatility over the last four weeks.

Current Odds
+17500
0.57% probability
Best available odds
Market Rank
#23
0 this week
Among all MVP candidates
7-Day Change
0.0pp
Stable trend
Percentage point change
Market Health
Medium
0.5% volatility
Confidence level

Season Performance

Opening Odds
+5500
Rank #19
Current Odds
+17500
Rank #23
Movement
Declined
68.2%

Michael Penix Jr. opened the season at +5500, but has since drifted to +17500, representing a 68.2% decrease in implied probability, falling 4 spots from their opening rank of #19.

Return on Investment

$100 Bet at Opening
$5500.00 profit
Total Return
$5600.00
ROI Percentage
5500%

Hypothetical return if you had placed a $100 bet when the season opened at +5500 odds.

Probability Trend Analysis

Michael Penix Jr. implied probability over 4 weeks

4-Week Average
1.0%

Peak Performance

1.8%
Week Week 1

vs 4-Week Average

-0.5pp
Below average

4-Week Volatility

0.5%
Standard deviation

Peer Comparison

How Michael Penix Jr. compares to other top MVP candidates

Josh Allen
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8%
Behind by
48.8pp
#2
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3%
Behind by
14.3pp
#3
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8%
Behind by
11.8pp
#4
Jordan Love
Green Bay PackersQB
+1400
6.7%
Behind by
6.7pp
#5
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles RamsQB
+1800
5.3%
Behind by
5.3pp

Leading

Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers QB
+14.3pp
Lead over rank #2

Position Context

QB Leader
Josh Allen
Rank #1
RB Leader
No data
WR Leader
No data

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Michael Penix Jr. MVP odds

Michael Penix Jr. currently has +17500 MVP odds, which translates to a 0.6% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Michael at rank #23 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

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