2025-26 Season

Kyler MurrayMVP Odds

Odds improved to +15000 today (Week 05). Mid-pack tier. Updated Oct 12, 2025.

Arizona CardinalsQB#1
Current Rank
#21th
Best Odds
+15000
Win Probability
0.7%

7-Day Movement

Change:+0.2pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Stable

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:0.6%

Current Market Summary

Kyler Murray is currently ranked #21 in MVP odds with +15000 odds (0.7% implied probability). The QB has gained 0.2 percentage points over the past week, showing a stable trend. Market confidence is medium with 0.6% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Matthew Stafford
+1200 (7.69%)
Needs +7.03pp
to pass
Jordan Love
+1200 (7.69%)
Needs +7.03pp
to pass
Baker Mayfield
+650 (13.33%)
Needs +12.67pp
to pass
Current Position
#21
0.66% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 0.50% → 3.23%
Velocity
+0.66pp/day
Rising trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +15000 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$1,500.00
Total
$1,510.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$3,750.00
Total
$3,775.00
Bet
$50
Profit
$7,500.00
Total
$7,550.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$15,000.00
Total
$15,100.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$37,500.00
Total
$37,750.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$75,000.00
Total
$75,500.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$150,000.00
Total
$151,000.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +15000 = 151.00× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Kyler Murray implied probability over 5 weeks

5-Week Average
1.6%

Peak Performance

3.2%
Week Week 1

vs 5-Week Average

-0.9pp
Below average

5-Week Volatility

1.0%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Kyler Murray MVP odds

Kyler Murray currently has +15000 MVP odds, which translates to a 0.7% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Kyler at rank #21 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More