2025-26 Season

Joe BurrowMVP Odds

Odds improved to +650 today (Week 20). Favorite tier. Updated Oct 12, 2025.

Cincinnati BengalsQB#9
Current Rank
#3rd
Best Odds
+650
Win Probability
13.3%

7-Day Movement

Change:+1.9pp
Rank Change:+1
Trend:Climbing

Market Analysis

Confidence:High
Volatility:1.8%
Fair Probability:14.1%

Current Market Summary

Joe Burrow is currently ranked #3 in MVP odds with +650 odds (13.3% implied probability). The QB has gained 1.9 percentage points over the past week, showing a climbing trend. Market confidence is high with 1.8% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Jalen Hurts
+592 (13.33%)
Needs +0.00pp
to pass
Lamar Jackson
+1444 (13.33%)
Needs +0.00pp
to pass

Leading

Dak Prescott
+740 (13.33%)
Leads +0.00pp
ahead by
Current Position
#3
13.33% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 11.21% → 15.41%
Velocity
+0.02pp/day
Flat trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +650 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$65.00
Total
$75.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$162.50
Total
$187.50
Bet
$50
Profit
$325.00
Total
$375.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$650.00
Total
$750.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$1,625.00
Total
$1,875.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$3,250.00
Total
$3,750.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$6,500.00
Total
$7,500.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +650 = 7.50× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Joe Burrow implied probability over 12 weeks

12-Week Average
13.3%

Peak Performance

15.4%
Week Week 16

vs 12-Week Average

+1.2pp
Above average

12-Week Volatility

1.4%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Joe Burrow MVP odds

Joe Burrow currently has +650 MVP odds, which translates to a 13.3% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Joe at rank #3 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More