2025-26 Season

Jayden DanielsMVP Odds

Washington CommandersQB#5
Current Rank
#10th
Best Odds
+5000
Probability
2.0%

7-Day Movement

Change:-3.6pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Sliding

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:3.0%

Current Market Summary

Jayden Daniels is currently ranked #10 in MVP odds with +5000 odds (2.0% implied probability). The QB has lost 3.6 percentage points over the past week, showing a sliding trend. Market confidence is medium with 3.0% volatility over the last four weeks.

Current Odds
+5000
1.96% probability
Best available odds
Market Rank
#10
0 this week
Among all MVP candidates
7-Day Change
-3.6pp
Sliding trend
Percentage point change
Market Health
Medium
3.0% volatility
Confidence level

Season Performance

Opening Odds
+850
Rank #3
Current Odds
+5000
Rank #10
Movement
Declined
81.4%

Jayden Daniels opened the season at +850, but has since drifted to +5000, representing a 81.4% decrease in implied probability, falling 7 spots from their opening rank of #3.

Return on Investment

$100 Bet at Opening
$850.00 profit
Total Return
$950.00
ROI Percentage
850%

Hypothetical return if you had placed a $100 bet when the season opened at +850 odds.

Probability Trend Analysis

Jayden Daniels implied probability over 4 weeks

4-Week Average
6.0%

Peak Performance

10.5%
Week Week 1

vs 4-Week Average

-4.0pp
Below average

4-Week Volatility

3.0%
Standard deviation

Peer Comparison

How Jayden Daniels compares to other top MVP candidates

Josh Allen
Buffalo BillsQB
+105
48.8%
Behind by
48.8pp
#2
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles ChargersQB
+600
14.3%
Behind by
14.3pp
#3
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsQB
+750
11.8%
Behind by
11.8pp
#4
Jordan Love
Green Bay PackersQB
+1400
6.7%
Behind by
6.7pp
#5
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles RamsQB
+1800
5.3%
Behind by
5.3pp

Leading

Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers QB
+14.3pp
Lead over rank #2

Position Context

QB Leader
Josh Allen
Rank #1
RB Leader
No data
WR Leader
No data

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Jayden Daniels MVP odds

Jayden Daniels currently has +5000 MVP odds, which translates to a 2.0% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Jayden at rank #10 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More