2025-26 Season

Baker MayfieldMVP Odds

Odds moved to +8000 today (Week 11). Contender tier. Updated Nov 20, 2025.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersQB#6
Current Rank
#14th
Best Odds
+8000
Win Probability
1.2%

7-Day Movement

Change:-2.0pp
Rank Change:0
Trend:Sliding

Market Analysis

Confidence:Medium
Volatility:1.7%

Current Market Summary

Baker Mayfield is currently ranked #14 in MVP odds with +8000 odds (1.2% implied probability). The QB has lost 2.0 percentage points over the past week, showing a sliding trend. Market confidence is medium with 1.7% volatility over the last four weeks.

Board Position & Gaps

Leaderboard friction — gaps to close & leads to protect

Chasing

Patrick Mahomes
+2000 (4.76%)
Needs +3.53pp
to pass
Jonathan Taylor
+800 (11.11%)
Needs +9.88pp
to pass
Josh Allen
+450 (18.18%)
Needs +16.95pp
to pass
Current Position
#14
1.23% implied probability

Volatility & Velocity

Market dynamics over last 7 days

Volatility
Whipsaw
7-day band: 1.23% → 25.00%
Velocity
+0.17pp/day
Rising trend (5-day slope)
7-Day Probability Trend

Payout Calculator

Returns at +8000 odds

Bet
$10
Profit
$800.00
Total
$810.00
Bet
$25
Profit
$2,000.00
Total
$2,025.00
Bet
$50
Profit
$4,000.00
Total
$4,050.00
Bet
$100
Profit
$8,000.00
Total
$8,100.00
Bet
$250
Profit
$20,000.00
Total
$20,250.00
Bet
$500
Profit
$40,000.00
Total
$40,500.00
Bet
$1,000
Profit
$80,000.00
Total
$81,000.00

Total return = Profit + Original stake. American odds: +8000 = 81.00× decimal multiplier.

Probability Trend Analysis

Baker Mayfield implied probability over 11 weeks

11-Week Average
7.5%

Peak Performance

25.0%
Week Week 6

vs 11-Week Average

-6.2pp
Below average

11-Week Volatility

6.5%
Standard deviation

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about Baker Mayfield MVP odds

Baker Mayfield currently has +8000 MVP odds, which translates to a 1.2% implied probability of winning the award. These odds place Baker at rank #14 among all MVP candidates for the 2025-26 season.

Data Methodology

Our MVP odds aggregate data from major sportsbooks and calculate implied probabilities, market confidence, and trend analysis. All metrics are updated weekly with the latest market movements.

Learn More